Andrew C. Stokes

Associate Professor in the Departments of Global Health and Sociology · Boston University

Andrew C. Stokes

Andrew C. Stokes is a demographer and sociologist who uses advanced computational methods to study the social, economic, policy, and other structural determinants of rising mortality inequities within the U.S. and the widening U.S. mortality disadvantage compared to other high-income countries. In his work, Dr. Stokes applies interdisciplinary approaches, combining traditional methods from demography, quantitative sociology, and epidemiology with novel techniques for machine learning, causal inference, and spatial-temporal modeling, toward the goal of generating timely evidence to shape health and social policy and improve population health.

Selected Papers

Applied Machine Learning:

Applying machine learning to identify unrecognized COVID-19 deaths recorded as other causes of death in the United States Science Advances · March 2026
Identifying Patterns of Tobacco Use and Associated Cardiovascular Disease Risk Through Machine Learning Analysis of Urine Biomarkers JACC: Advances · February 2025
Factors Associated With Semaglutide Initiation Among Adults With Obesity JAMA Network Open · January 2025

Excess Mortality Modeling:

Excess Deaths Attributable to the Los Angeles Wildfires From January 5 to February 1, 2025 JAMA · August 2025
Mortality Trends Among Early Adults in the United States, 1999–2023 JAMA Network Open · January 2025
Excess Mortality as a Tool to Monitor the Evolution of Health Emergencies: Choices, Challenges, and Future Directions American Journal of Public Health · May 2024
Excess natural-cause mortality in US counties and its association with reported COVID-19 deaths PNAS · February 2024
Monthly excess mortality across counties in the United States during the COVID-19 pandemic, March 2020 to February 2022 Science Advances · June 2023

Cross-National Mortality Comparisons:

Causes of Excess Deaths in the US Compared With Other High-Income Countries JAMA Network Open · May 2026
Excess US Deaths Before, During, and After the COVID-19 Pandemic JAMA Health Forum · May 2025
Missing Americans: Early death in the United States—1933–2021 PNAS Nexus · May 2023

Social Inequalities and Health Disparities:

Diverging Mortality Trends by Educational Attainment in the US JAMA Health Forum · June 2025
Evolution of the US nonmetropolitan mortality disadvantage by sex, state, and year, 1999-2019 The Journal of Rural Health · June 2025
Disparities in All-Cause Mortality Beyond the Acute Phase of the COVID-19 Pandemic in the US JAMA Network Open · February 2024
Sociodemographic Differences in E-Cigarette Uptake and Perceptions of Harm American Journal of Preventive Medicine · September 2023
COVID-19 Mortality by Race and Ethnicity in US Metropolitan and Nonmetropolitan Areas, March 2020 to February 2022 JAMA Network Open · May 2023

View more papers on Dr. Stokes's Google Scholar profile→

Teaching

Dr. Stokes teaches the following courses at Boston University:

Op-Eds & Commentaries

Public health should embrace GLP-1 drugs without abandoning obesity prevention STAT News · November 2025
American Millennials Are Dying at an Alarming Rate Slate · August 2025
COVID-19 deaths in the US continue to be undercounted, research shows, despite claims of ‘overcounts’ The Conversation · January 2023
Low vaccine booster rates are now a key factor in COVID-19 deaths – and racial disparities in booster rates persist The Conversation · August 2022
‘Hidden’ COVID fatalities show US death investigations need reform The Hill · July 2022
Excess Deaths During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Implications for US Death Investigation Systems American Journal of Public Health · April 2021
The ‘obesity paradox’ may not be a paradox at all International Journal of Obesity · June 2017
When Industry and Public Health Collide Boston University School of Public Health Viewpoint · September 2016

Policy Impact

Selected citations of Dr. Stokes’s research in federal, state, and other policy guidance.

The Nature of the Rural-Urban Mortality Gap U.S. Department of Agriculture · March 2024

Cites two studies published by Dr. Stokes and colleagues in the American Journal of Public Health and Health Affairs, entitled “Contribution of Obesity to International Differences in Life Expectancy” and “Projecting the Effect of Changes in Smoking and Obesity on Future Life Expectancy in the United States.”

CDC’s State of Vaccine Confidence Insights Report: Vaccination in Rural America Special Report Centers for Disease Control & Prevention · September 2023

Quotes a study published by Dr. Stokes and colleagues in Science Advances entitled “Monthly excess mortality across counties in the United States during the COVID-19 pandemic, March 2020 to February 2022.”

The 2023 Joint Economic Report (Senate Report 118-86) United States Joint Economic Committee · July 2023

Cites a study published by Dr. Stokes and colleagues in PNAS entitled “The role of obesity in exceptionally slow US mortality improvement.”

Our Epidemic of Loneliness and Isolation: The U.S. Surgeon General’s Advisory on the Healing Effects of Social Connection and Community The Office of the U.S. Surgeon General · May 2023

Cites a study published by Dr. Stokes and colleagues in SSM - Mental Health entitled “Loneliness, social isolation, and all-cause mortality in the United States.”

Smoking Cessation: A Report of the Surgeon General The Office of the U.S. Surgeon General · January 2020

Cites multiple studies by Dr. Stokes and colleagues, including “E-cigarette initiation and associated changes in smoking cessation and reduction” (Tobacco Control), “Socio-economic and racial/ethnic differences in e-cigarette uptake among cigarette smokers” (Nicotine and Tobacco Research), and “Association between e-cigarette use and cardiovascular disease among never and current combustible-cigarette smokers” (American Journal of Medicine).

View more policy citations on Dr. Stokes's Sage Policy profile→

Contact

Email
acstokes@bu.edu
Bluesky
@astokespop.bsky.social
LinkedIn
Andrew Stokes
Scholar
Google Scholar profile
Faculty
Boston University profile

Curriculum Vitae (CV)

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Last updated June 28, 2026